Update on Yesterday's Pakistan Earthquake M7.7
Latest reports now indicate that as many as 200+ persons may have died in the disaster. Contours of earthquake probability show significant changes from yesterday as would be expected. A 200 km circle drawn around the epicentral region shows a continued moderate probability of a very destructive M>7 event (6%) in the next 3 years, due to the possibility of large aftershocks. There is also a high probability of large event M>6 (38%) in the next 3 years that could cause considerable damage and loss of life due to the poor quality of construction in the area.
About OpenHazards Bloggers
Steven Ward is a Research Geophysicist at
the Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, UC Santa Cruz. He specializes in the quantification and simulation of
natural hazards. Read Steve's blog.
John Rundle is a Distinguished Professor of Physics
and Geology at UC Davis and
the Executive Director of the APEC Collaboration for Earthquake Simulations. He
chaired the Board of Advisors for the Southern California Earthquake Center from 1994 to 1996. Read John's blog.