OpenHazards Accurately Predicted Today's Earthquake in Taiwan
The Open Hazards Group accurately predicted the damaging earthquake that struck Taiwan Saturday evening at 9:02 pm. A screen shot of the forecast shows the openhazards.com forecast details. The contour plot shows earthquake probability and the blue marker depicts the epicenter of the actual quake. The forecast was posted to our website before the earthquake occurred. An aftershock forecast will be available on our website after midnight California time when our site updates worldwide forecasting.
Early reports from global seismic data collection sites indicate the epicenter is about 90 miles (145 km) south of T’ai-pei, just off the eastern coast near Hua-lien. Initial reports indicate several deaths and injuries.
OpenHazards.com forecasts damaging earthquakes worldwide. We provide a free, open, and independent assessment of hazard and risk due to major earthquakes, using a self-consistent, global, validated methodology.
Stay informed by visiting this site often.
About OpenHazards Bloggers
Steven Ward is a Research Geophysicist at
the Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, UC Santa Cruz. He specializes in the quantification and simulation of
natural hazards. Read Steve's blog.
John Rundle is a Distinguished Professor of Physics
and Geology at UC Davis and
the Executive Director of the APEC Collaboration for Earthquake Simulations. He
chaired the Board of Advisors for the Southern California Earthquake Center from 1994 to 1996. Read John's blog.
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