Four Cities Forecast: Japan Update (March 17, 2011)
Here we update the forecast made for the four cities of Tokyo, Niigata, Osaka and Sendai. The last update was the day after the M9.0 Great Tohoku earthquake. Since March 13, the chance of an M6.7 within 12 months of March 17, 2011 and 150 miles of the four cities listed has increased for all cities as shown below. Sendai is currently at highest risk, with Tokyo also at substantial risk.
In tabular form the data is:
About OpenHazards Bloggers
Steven Ward is a Research Geophysicist at
the Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, UC Santa Cruz. He specializes in the quantification and simulation of
natural hazards. Read Steve's blog.
John Rundle is a Distinguished Professor of Physics
and Geology at UC Davis and
the Executive Director of the APEC Collaboration for Earthquake Simulations. He
chaired the Board of Advisors for the Southern California Earthquake Center from 1994 to 1996. Read John's blog.
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